Influence of CT dose reduction on AI-driven malignancy estimation of incidental pulmonary nodules

The purpose of this study was to determine the influence of dose reduction on a commercially available lung cancer prediction convolutional neuronal network (LCP-CNN). CT scans from a cohort provided by the local lung cancer center (n = 218) with confirmed pulmonary malignancies and their corresponding reduced dose simulations (25% and 5% dose) were subjected to the LCP-CNN. The resulting LCP scores (scale 1-10, increasing malignancy risk) and the proportion of correctly classified nodules were compared. The cohort was divided into a low-, medium-, and high-risk group based on the respective LCP scores; shifts between the groups were studied to evaluate the potential impact on nodule management. Two different malignancy risk score thresholds were analyzed: a higher threshold of ≥ 9 ("rule-in" approach) and a lower threshold of > 4 ("rule-out" approach). In total, 169 patients with 196 nodules could be included (mean age ± SD, 64.5 ± 9.2 year; 49% females). Mean LCP scores for original, 25% and 5% dose levels were 8.5 ± 1.7, 8.4 ± 1.7 (p > 0.05 vs. original dose) and 8.2 ± 1.9 (p < 0.05 vs. original dose), respectively. The proportion of correctly classified nodules with the "rule-in" approach decreased with simulated dose reduction from 58.2 to 56.1% (p = 0.34) and to 52.0% for the respective dose levels (p = 0.01). For the "rule-out" approach the respective values were 95.9%, 96.4%, and 94.4% (p = 0.12). When reducing the original dose to 25%/5%, eight/twenty-two nodules shifted to a lower, five/seven nodules to a higher malignancy risk group. CT dose reduction may affect the analyzed LCP-CNN regarding the classification of pulmonary malignancies and potentially alter pulmonary nodule management. Utilization of a "rule-out" approach with a lower malignancy risk threshold prevents underestimation of the nodule malignancy risk for the analyzed software, especially in high-risk cohorts.