A Monte Carlo technique to estimate the probability of volcanic dikes

This paper discusses estimation of the spatial probability of future volcanic dikes in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain which is based on a computer code using a Monte Carlo simulation. The model for the code incorporates the geometrical aspects of all current hypotheses concerning volcanism in the area. The main functions of the code are to: plot the position of dikes according to input parameters that specify the requisite geometry of the volcanic field and the dikes, calculate the number of dikes that intersect the repository for each simulation, and compute a risk probability function based on field size for the specified field and dike geometries