Integrating vegetation suitability in sustainable revegetation for the Loess Plateau, China

Highlights: • Ecological optimality-based model was used to assess the vegetation suitability. • Current and future suitable boundaries of two restoration species were delimited. • A 'win-win' land-use change plan was put forward based on suitable boundary. • The developed model can help guide the future revegetation program planning. Revegetation is accelerating globally due to its benefits for ecosystem restoration, desertification prevention, and climate change mitigation. The Loess Plateau has suffered serious erosion in the past decades, and revegetation projects, such as those under the 'Grain for Green' program, have been conducted for soil erosion prevention. The irrational distribution of artificial plantations had negative consequences, including vegetation degradation, soil drying, and decreases in streamflow. Determining the suitable plant species is critical in guiding the design of revegetation programs and may help delimit the suitable boundaries for artificial plantations. In this study, we used an eco-hydrological model to quantify the suitability of two typical revegetation species (Robinia pseudoacacia and Stipa bungeana) using a developed vegetation suitability equation, which estimates the water use/water stress trade-off. The results showed that R. pseudoacacia was more sensitive to water stress than S. bungeana. The water use of both species varied along the precipitation gradient, and S. bungeana generally had a higher water use than R. pseudoacacia. Suitable areas for R. pseudoacacia were mainly located in the northeastern part of the plateau. By overlaying the suitable boundaries for R. pseudoacacia on the current land cover, we found that the area of forests distributed in unsuitable regions reached 7.31% of the entire Loess Plateau. Converting forests beyond the suitable boundary to grasslands would increase the water yield (0.51%–12.23%) and slightly decrease the soil retention capacity (0.01%–0.08%), resulting in a 'win-win' situation for sustainable plant-soil ecosystems and soil-water conservations. Additionally, the suitable area of R. pseudoacacia is predicted to shrink under projected future drying trends. In conclusion, vegetation suitability in the future planning and design of revegetation projects should be considered to effectively tackle the impacts of environmental degradation and climate change in the Loess Plateau.