Updated energy and carbon emissions projections. The Energy White Paper

The emissions projections that informed the Energy Review Report were published in July 2006. These baseline projections were updated to inform the Energy White Paper published in May 2007 and summary results are included in Annex B of the White Paper. This report presents these latest energy and carbon emissions projections to 2020 in more detail. A range of projections is presented reflecting high, central and low range assumptions around future fossil fuel prices and the anticipated impact of the Energy White Paper proposals. The projections also explore the impact of a carbon price for the UK power sector covered by the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). The report's chapters examine: the baseline projection results; baseline comparison with Energy Review 2006 projections; a breakdown of the changes in 2020 projected emissions; the impact of a carbon price of the EU ETS sectors and Energy White Paper measures; final energy demand results; electricity generation; primary energy demand results; and projection uncertainty. Fossil fuel price and economic growth assumptions are detailed in appendices, as are emissions by source for the three fuel price scenarios, end user emissions by sector, progress towards climate change goals, road transport, electricity generation and capacity; EU ETS savings effort in 2020; and security of supply