What are the consequences of the large-scale use of nuclear energy in the Federal Republic of Germany according to the AGF-E2 study?

Automatic translation: In the debate about the peaceful use of nuclear energy, the focus is on the necessity of this energy system and, in particular, what consequences are to be expected if it is used on a large scale. In order to come closer to answering these questions, it is useful to first recall the general energy problem. The energy industry has the task of providing sufficient quantities of energy for the creation of improved living conditions. The past has shown that energy consumption has grown steadily and that a further increase in economic growth will be necessary in the future in order to meet the needs of life and to help balance out social differences. However, the growth in energy consumption appears to be a fundamental problem of the century, because with unlimited growth and the associated environmental impact, ecological limits are emerging. In addition, the current main sources of energy are limited and therefore a long-term transition to the use of new energy sources is necessary. In view of this situation, various national and international studies are being carried out as part of the updating of the Federal Republic of Germany's energy program. The aim is to define the development of energy consumption under certain assumptions, boundary conditions and influencing factors up to the next century and to investigate the possible uses of fossil, nuclear and renewable primary energy sources. The system-analytical work deals with the conversion technologies for the production of secondary energy sources and with the analysis of useful energy in the individual consumption sectors. The development trends reveal above all economic and ecological effects. At the suggestion of the BMFT, the individual activities on the energy situation within the working group of the major research institutes (AGF) were combined in a joint program "Applied Systems Analysis (ASA)". The steering committee consists of representatives of the AGF and the BMFT and is intended to provide advice and decision-making aids in energy policy. Of the ongoing individual studies, the study on the "Consequences of the large-scale use of nuclear energy in the FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY" is of particular importance due to the important position of nuclear energy for the future energy supply. The overall study (E2 study) was completed under the direction of the KFK in 1978 and comprises six sub-studies /l/. The requirements for fuel supply and fuel disposal are examined for various energy scenarios in Germany. It deals with economic efficiency issues and the environmental impact of large-scale use of nuclear energy. The last two parts deal with the acceptance problems of nuclear energy and the possibilities of nuclear material monitoring. Due to the limited time available, I will focus on three main points of the study and address the following questions: - What energy benchmarks can be expected in the next century? What share can nuclear energy play?- To what extent could nuclear power plants and reprocessing plants be built and what quantities of radioactive waste are produced during disposal? - What radiological and temperature-related impacts result from the use of nuclear energy? What potential hazards do nuclear facilities pose? The basis for this is the AGF-E2 study. If it has been superseded by more recent studies, brief notes are provided.