Value of CT quantification in progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease. A deep learning approach

To evaluate the relationship of changes in the deep learning-based CT quantification of interstitial lung disease (ILD) with changes in forced vital capacity (FVC) and visual assessments of ILD progression, and to investigate their prognostic implications. This study included ILD patients with CT scans at intervals of over 2 years between January 2015 and June 2021. Deep learning-based texture analysis software was used to segment ILD findings on CT images (fibrosis: reticular opacity + honeycombing cysts; total ILD extent: ground-glass opacity + fibrosis). Patients were grouped according to the absolute decline of predicted FVC (< 5%, 5-10%, and ≥ 10%) and ILD progression assessed by thoracic radiologists, and their quantification results were compared among these groups. The associations between quantification results and survival were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression analysis. In total, 468 patients (239 men; 64 ± 9.5 years) were included. Fibrosis and total ILD extents more increased in patients with larger FVC decline (p < .001 in both). Patients with ILD progression had higher fibrosis and total ILD extent increases than those without ILD progression (p < .001 in both). Increases in fibrosis and total ILD extent were significant prognostic factors when adjusted for absolute FVC declines of ≥ 5% (hazard ratio [HR] 1.844, p = .01 for fibrosis; HR 2.484, p < .001 for total ILD extent) and ≥ 10% (HR 2.918, p < .001 for fibrosis; HR 3.125, p < .001 for total ILD extent). Changes in ILD CT quantification correlated with changes in FVC and visual assessment of ILD progression, and they were independent prognostic factors in ILD patients. Quantifying the CT features of interstitial lung disease using deep learning techniques could play a key role in defining and predicting the prognosis of progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease.