Stochastic forecasting of heat resistant alloys creep using Monte Carlo method

A prpcedure is developed for predicting creep curves for arbitrary law of temperature-stress loading based on I.I. Trunin equation of state for creep using Monte Carlo method on the basis of the established distribution functions for its parameters. Prediction reliability is proved by experimental data on creep of nickel structural super-alloyZhS6KP obtained in a wide range of temperature and stress variation. Application of the procedure given allows considerably to decrease the scope and period of expensive and long pilot creep tests