Published September 2021 | Version v1
Journal article

A novel wind speed prediction strategy based on Bi-LSTM, MOOFADA and transfer learning for centralized control centers

  • 1. School of Artificial Intelligence, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin, 300130 (China)
  • 2. School of Electrical Engineering, Hebei University of Science and Technology, Shijiazhuang, 050018 (China)

Description

Highlights: • A wind speed prediction strategy suitable for wind farm centralized control center is proposed. • The optimization algorithm is used to optimize the VMD to avoid the uncertainty and randomness of decomposition results. • Transfer learning is used to improve the learning efficiency of the model. • A new multi-objective optimization algorithm MOOFADA is used to determine the optimal weight. With the rapid development of wind power generation, a centralized monitoring center for wind farms has emerged to save investment and reduce operating costs. However, it is a daunting challenge for the intelligent wind speed prediction system of centralized control center to realize the wind speed prediction of wind farms in different environments. To this end, this paper proposes a multi-wind farm wind speed prediction strategy suitable for wind farm centralized control center. Firstly, the Bi-LSTM deep learning model is pre-trained with the historical data of four wind farms in typical geographical locations to obtain four intelligent wind speed prediction models with different characteristic parameters. Then, transfer learning is used to transfer the four pre-trained models to the wind farm centralized control center, and the wind speed of any wind farm can be predicted using these four Bi-LSTM models. Finally, the MOOFADA optimization algorithm is used to weight the four sets of prediction results to obtain the optimal wind speed prediction results. Experiments and comparisons with a variety of algorithms show that this algorithm is far higher in prediction accuracy than other algorithms, and has strong adaptability, which can be widely used in wind speed prediction for wind farms.

Availability note (English)

Available from http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120904

Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1016/j.energy.2021.120904;
PII
S036054422101152X;

Publishing Information

Journal Title
Energy (Oxford)
Journal Volume
230
Journal Page Range
vp.
ISSN
0360-5442
CODEN
ENEYDS

INIS

Country of Publication
United Kingdom
Country of Input or Organization
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
INIS RN
53112369
Subject category
S17: WIND ENERGY; S42: ENGINEERING;
Descriptors DEI
CONTROL; EFFICIENCY; MACHINE LEARNING; OPTIMIZATION; POWER GENERATION; WIND POWER; WIND TURBINE ARRAYS
Descriptors DEC
ALGORITHMS; ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE; ENERGY SOURCES; LEARNING; MATHEMATICAL LOGIC; POWER; RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

Optional Information

Copyright
Copyright (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.