Electro-generating renewable energies: which potential by 2025/2030? The Ademe's scenario: is its treatment of the electric mix credible for the treatment of the intermittency of renewable energies, is its cost acceptable, are its consumption predictions realistic?

This document proposes a critical point of view on the scenario developed by the ADEME on the potential of electricity production by renewable energies by 2025/2030. According to this scenario, nuclear power is divided by two and the fleet of intermittent renewable energies (wind and photovoltaic) is multiplied by seven. This report assesses the investments costs associated with this intermittent fleet and with a necessary adaptation of the high voltage and distribution grids. It also outlines that massive imports of energy could be necessary when the production of these renewable sources is at its low point. It notices that stopping half of the nuclear fleet will entail a loss of revenues which will not take benefit of a reduction of greenhouse gas