Published 2018 | Version v1
Book

X11-like Seasonal Adjustment of Daily Data

Description

High frequency data, i.e. data observed at infra-monthly intervals, have been used for decades by statisticians and econometricians in the financial and industrial worlds. Weekly data were already used in the 20's by official statisticians to assess the short-term evolution of the Economy. For example, Crum (1927) studied the series of weekly bank debits outside New York city from 1919 to 1026 and proposed a method to seasonally adjust these data based on the median-link-relative method developed by Persons (1919). Nowadays, these data are ubiquitous and concern almost all sectors of the Economy. Numerous variables are collected weekly, daily or even hourly, that could bring valuable information to official statisticians in their evaluation of the state and short-term evolution of the Economy. But these data also bring challenges with them: they are very volatiles and show more outliers and breaks; they present multiple and non integer periodicities and their correct modeling implies numerous regressors: calendar effects, outliers, harmonics. The current statistician's traditional toolbox, methods and algorithms, has been developed mainly for monthly and quarterly series; how should these tools be adapted to handle time series of thousands observations with specific characteristics and dynamics efficiently? We present some ideas to adapt the main seasonal adjustment methods, and especially "the X11 family" i.e. methods based on moving averages like X11, X11-ARIMA, X12-ARIMA and X-13ARIMA-SEATS. We also make some recommendations about the most appropriate methods for pretreatment and filtering of daily and weekly data. Keywords: Seasonal adjustment, high-frequency data, ruptures, calendar e

Part of:
2nd International Conference on Advanced Research Methods and Analytics (CARMA 2018). Proceedings

Additional details

Publishing Information

Publisher
Editorial Universitat Politecnica de Valencia
Imprint Place
Valencia (Spain)
Imprint Title
2nd International Conference on Advanced Research Methods and Analytics (CARMA 2018). Proceedings
Imprint Pagination
279 p.
Journal Page Range
1 p.

Conference

Title
2nd International Conference on Advanced Research Methods and Analytics
Acronym
CARMA 2018
Dates
12-13 Jul 2018
Place
Valencia (Spain)

INIS

Country of Publication
Spain
Country of Input or Organization
Spain
INIS RN
50036666
Subject category
S97: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND COMPUTING;
Resource subtype / Literary indicator
Conference
Descriptors DEI
DATA ACQUISITION; DATA ANALYSIS; DATA COMPILATION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROGRAM MANAGEMENT; STATISTICS
Descriptors DEC
DATA; DATA PROCESSING; INFORMATION; MANAGEMENT; MATHEMATICS; PROCESSING

Optional Information