Predictors of fatal outcome in fulminant hepatic failure

Objective: To determine prognostic indicators for morbidity and mortality in patients with fulminant hepatic failure. Design: Observational study. Place and Duration of Study: Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Shaikh Zayed Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore, from April 2003 to June 2005. Patients and Methods: Forty-five patients with confirmed diagnosis of fulminant hepatic failure were included in this study. They were investigated for acute viral serology, complete blood count, liver function tests, renal function tests, serum electrolytes, arterial blood gases, initially daily and then on alternate days. Patients were followed in high dependency/ICU at the Shaikh Zayed Postgraduate Medical Institute. Data were analyzed by logistic regression analysis to identify predictors of mortality and morbidity. Results: Of the 45 subjects, 31 were males and 14 females. Twenty-four patients were positive for acute hepatitis E. Twenty patients recovered fully, whereas 25 died with mortality rate of 55.6 %. Variables i.e. presence of non-A non-B viral hepatitis, serum creatinine > 2.0 mg/dl, serum phosphate> 3.5 mg/dl and sepsis were found to have significant association with mortality on linear correlation. Only serum creatinine more than 2.0 mg/dl, serum phosphate > 3.5 mg/dl and development of sepsis were found to predict the outcome after multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Patients with serum creatinine > 2.0 mg/dl, serum phosphate > 3.5 mg/dl and sepsis showed adverse prognosis for survival. (author)