Forecasting the U.S. market for windpower

Projections to the middle of the next century indicate that future wind-electricity is likely to cost from 5.5 to 7.7 cents per kWh, and that its US market share may be around 4 to 5% of the total. Wind-turbines produce electricity cheaper than nuclear powerplants and may soon become competitive with fossil-fueled generators. As wind's clear superiority to nuclear accelerates, utilities may need new marketability assessments: this one is based on their own criterion, namely the outlook for the cost of electricity (CoE) to the customer. The study compiled others' estimates for distant-future wind-CoE (WCoE) and fossil-CoE (FCoE), and a way of forecasting wind-electricity market size 50 years hence