Estimation of LOCA break size using cascaded support vector regression - 334

A failure of emergency core cooling system (ECCS) during a certain small break loss of coolant accident (SBLOCA) can cause a severe core uncovery and fuel failure. The safety injection systems (SISs) might not function properly in case of a SBLOCA, due to the slight change of pressure in the pipes. Early trend of the major parameters has to be observed and the accurate information has to be given to the nuclear power plant (NPP) operators by precisely identifying the break size to effectively manage accidents. In this study, the objective is to provide to operators the information on the break size in a short time by considering the accident situations such as hot-leg LOCA, cold-leg LOCA, steam generator tube rupture (SGTR). A cascaded support vector regression (CSVR) is used in order to estimate the break size. The simulation data set was obtained from the optimized power plant reactor 1000 (OPR1000) using modular accident analysis program (MAAP) code. And genetic algorithm (GA) was used to select the input variables of the CSVR model and optimize its parameters. As a result of this study, the CSVR model estimate very well the break size of LOCAs. If the operators can predict the break size in the LOCA, they can response quickly and properly to LOCA circumstances to prevent the core uncovery and fuel failure. Also, it will be possible to more efficiently manage beyond design basis accidents. (authors)