Entropy method combined with extreme learning machine method for the short-term photovoltaic power generation forecasting
Creators
Description
As the world's energy problem becomes more severe day by day, photovoltaic power generation has opened a new door for us with no doubt. It will provide an effective solution for this severe energy problem and meet human's needs for energy if we can apply photovoltaic power generation in real life, Similar to wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation is uncertain. Therefore, the forecast of photovoltaic power generation is very crucial. In this paper, entropy method and extreme learning machine (ELM) method were combined to forecast a short-term photovoltaic power generation. First, entropy method is used to process initial data, train the network through the data after unification, and then forecast electricity generation. Finally, the data results obtained through the entropy method with ELM were compared with that generated through generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBF) method. We found that entropy method combining with ELM method possesses higher accuracy and the calculation is faster.
Availability note (English)
Available from http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.008Additional details
Identifiers
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.008;
- PII
- S0960-0779(15)00367-7;
Publishing Information
- Journal Title
- Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
- Journal Volume
- 89
- Journal Page Range
- p. 243-248
- ISSN
- 0960-0779
INIS
- Country of Publication
- United Kingdom
- Country of Input or Organization
- International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
- INIS RN
- 48001977
- Subject category
- S71: CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSICS; S29: ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY;
- Descriptors DEI
- ACCURACY; ELECTRICITY; ENTROPY; GLOBAL ASPECTS; LEARNING; NEURAL NETWORKS; PHOTOVOLTAIC EFFECT; POWER GENERATION; WIND POWER
- Descriptors DEC
- ENERGY SOURCES; PHOTOELECTRIC EFFECT; PHYSICAL PROPERTIES; POWER; RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES; THERMODYNAMIC PROPERTIES
Optional Information
- Copyright
- Copyright (c) 2015 Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands, All rights reserved.