Published August 2016 | Version v1
Journal article

Entropy method combined with extreme learning machine method for the short-term photovoltaic power generation forecasting

Description

As the world's energy problem becomes more severe day by day, photovoltaic power generation has opened a new door for us with no doubt. It will provide an effective solution for this severe energy problem and meet human's needs for energy if we can apply photovoltaic power generation in real life, Similar to wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation is uncertain. Therefore, the forecast of photovoltaic power generation is very crucial. In this paper, entropy method and extreme learning machine (ELM) method were combined to forecast a short-term photovoltaic power generation. First, entropy method is used to process initial data, train the network through the data after unification, and then forecast electricity generation. Finally, the data results obtained through the entropy method with ELM were compared with that generated through generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBF) method. We found that entropy method combining with ELM method possesses higher accuracy and the calculation is faster.

Availability note (English)

Available from http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.008

Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.008;
PII
S0960-0779(15)00367-7;

Publishing Information

Journal Title
Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
Journal Volume
89
Journal Page Range
p. 243-248
ISSN
0960-0779

Optional Information

Copyright
Copyright (c) 2015 Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands, All rights reserved.