Updating of the Agency's Market Survey and recent power planning studies

Since the publication in 1973 of the Agency's Market Survey of the economic potential of nuclear power in developing countries, additional studies have continued to predict more realistically this aspect of electrical growth. An updating was prepared in 1974 to reflect the precipitous increase in crude oil prices. Actual forecasts in studies of individual countries are continuing, based on more extensive analysis and the latest economic factors. These studies have been performed for Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Hong Kong. A new forecast is presented for certain developing countries in Africa, America and Asia, which gives a range of 250-400 GW(e) of nuclear capacity installed by the end of this century. The lower forecast is considered most likely and represents approximately 30% of the total installed electrical capacity of these countries. (author)