Hourly performance forecast of a dew point cooler using explainable Artificial Intelligence and evolutionary optimisations by 2050
Creators
- 1. Centre for Sustainable Energy Technologies, Energy and Environment Institute, University of Hull, Hull HU6 7RX (United Kingdom)
- 2. Department of Computer Science, University of Hull, Hull HU6 7RX (United Kingdom)
- 3. School of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL (United Kingdom)
Description
Highlights: • Explainable Artificial Intelligence is used to interpret features contributions. • New Slime Mould Algorithm is developed as the primary optimisation method. • Particle Swarm Optimisation is considered as the comparing algorithm. • Hourly weather data are produced using a high emission scenario in 2020 and 2050. • Power savings of up to 72% is achievable by operation of optimized systems. The empirical success of the Artificial Intelligence (AI), has enhanced importance of the transparency in black box Machine Learning (ML) models. This study pioneers in developing an explainable and interpretable Deep Neural Network (DNN) model for a Guideless Irregular Dew Point Cooler (GIDPC). The game theory based SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method is used to interpret contribution of the operating conditions on performance parameters. Furthermore, in a response to the endeavours in developing more efficient metaheuristic optimisation algorithms for the energy systems, two Evolutionary Optimisation (EO) algorithms including a novel bio-inspired algorithm i.e., Slime Mould Algorithm (SMA), and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), are employed to simultaneously maximise the cooling efficiency and minimise the construction cost of the GIDPC. Additionally, performance of the optimised GIDPCs are compared in both statistical and deterministic way. The comparisons are carried out in diverse climates in 2020 and 2050 in which the hourly future weather data are projected using a high-emission scenario defined by Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC). The results revealed that the hourly COP of the optimised systems outperform the base design. Although power consumption of all systems increases from 2020 to 2050, owing to more operating hours as a result of global warming, but power savings of up to 72%, 69.49%, 63.24%, and 69.21% in hot summer continental, Arid, tropical rainforest and Mediterranean hot summer climates respectively, can be achieved when the systems run optimally.
Availability note (English)
Available from http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116062Additional details
Identifiers
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116062;
- PII
- S0306261920314938;
Publishing Information
- Journal Title
- Applied Energy
- Journal Volume
- 281
- Journal Page Range
- vp.
- ISSN
- 0306-2619
- CODEN
- APENDX
INIS
- Country of Publication
- United Kingdom
- Country of Input or Organization
- International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
- INIS RN
- 53107178
- Subject category
- S97: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND COMPUTING; S54: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES;
- Descriptors DEI
- CLIMATES; DEW POINT; EFFICIENCY; ENERGY SYSTEMS; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HEAT EXCHANGERS; MACHINE LEARNING; NEURAL NETWORKS; OPTIMIZATION; PERFORMANCE; WEATHER
- Descriptors DEC
- ALGORITHMS; ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE; CLIMATIC CHANGE; LEARNING; MATHEMATICAL LOGIC; PHYSICAL PROPERTIES; THERMODYNAMIC PROPERTIES; TRANSITION TEMPERATURE
Optional Information
- Copyright
- Copyright (c) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.