Gravity Probe B data analysis status and potential for improved accuracy of scientific results

Gravity Probe B (GP-B) is a landmark physics experiment in space designed to yield precise tests of two fundamental predictions of Einstein's theory of general relativity, the geodetic and frame-dragging effects, by means of cryogenic gyroscopes in Earth orbit. Launched on 20 April 2004, data collection began on 28 August 2004 and science operations were completed on 29 September 2005 upon liquid helium depletion. During the course of the experiment, two unexpected and mutually-reinforcing complications were discovered: (1) larger than expected 'misalignment' torques on the gyroscopes producing classical drifts larger than the relativity effects under study and (2) a damped polhode oscillation that complicated the calibration of the instrument's scale factor against the aberration of starlight. Steady progress through 2006 and 2007 established the methods for treating both problems; in particular, an extended effort from January 2007 on 'trapped flux mapping' led in August 2007 to a dramatic breakthrough, resulting in a factor of ∼20 reduction in data scatter. This paper reports results up to November 2007. Detailed investigation of a central 85-day segment of the data has yielded robust measurements of both relativity effects. Expansion to the complete science data set, along with anticipated improvements in modeling and in the treatment of systematic errors may be expected to yield a 3-6% determination of the frame-dragging effect