Published 1976 | Version v1
Report

Decision theory applied to rare events

Creators

  • 1. Electricite de France (EDF), 75 - Paris (France)

Description

The decision theory that is more or less dedicated to reinforce the basis of classical statistics, seems to have reached an opposite results, strongly justifying Bayesian methods. This may lead to remove reserves to the use of probabilistic and 'statistic' methods in the case of rare events. However, a thorough examination of the theory's concepts and axioms leads to requirements that may be difficult to satisfy in the framework of the definition itself of rare events. A collective effort to respond to these requirements would be extremely desirable; it could contribute to enhance the present situation through a better consensus on risk assessment

Part of:
Proceedings of the meeting of a task force on problems of rare events in the reliability analysis of nuclear power plants

Additional details

Additional titles

Original title (French)
Sur la theorie de le decision applique aux evenements rares

Publishing Information

Imprint Title
Proceedings of the meeting of a task force on problems of rare events in the reliability analysis of nuclear power plants
Imprint Pagination
341 p.
Journal Page Range
p. 160-179
Report number
NEA-CSNI-R--1976-10

Conference

Title
Meeting of a task force on problems of rare events in the reliability analysis of nuclear power plants
Dates
8-10 Jun 1976
Place
Ispra (Italy)

INIS

Country of Publication
Nuclear Energy Agency of the OECD (NEA)
Country of Input or Organization
Nuclear Energy Agency of the OECD (NEA)
INIS RN
41073107
Subject category
S22: GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS; S42: ENGINEERING; S97: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND COMPUTING;
Resource subtype / Literary indicator
Conference
Descriptors DEI
CALCULATION METHODS; DATA ANALYSIS; DECISION MAKING; GAME THEORY; NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS; REACTOR ACCIDENTS; REACTOR SAFETY; RELIABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY ANALYSIS; SYSTEM FAILURE ANALYSIS
Descriptors DEC
ACCIDENTS; MATHEMATICS; NUCLEAR FACILITIES; POWER PLANTS; SAFETY; STATISTICS; SYSTEMS ANALYSIS; THERMAL POWER PLANTS

Optional Information