Energy plan and nuclear power development

The oil crisis in Oct. '73 gave the opportunity to examine the conditions of the future energy supply in advanced countries. In many countries having little energy source in their own territories, the range of selecting energy-supplying means is very narrow. One of the possible means is to expand nuclear power generation instead of oil consumption. Energy planning in main consuming countries is explained in view of two aspects. One of them is to examine the effect of nuclear power generation scale on energy-supplying system when the planned scale is not attained. The other is the contribution of the nuclear power generation scale to energy demand. In Brookhaven model, the scenarios of long term energy-supplying system were identified by varying the possible supplying scale of various means such as atomic energy, geothermal energy and solar heat. The problem of the risk/benefit analysis concerning the selection of nuclear power generation and the other supplying means is to be examined. (Yamamoto, Y.)