Multiple metal exposure and obesity: A prospective cohort study of adults living along the Yangtze River, China

Highlights: • A prospective cohort study was conducted along the Yangtze River. • Arsenic and molybdenum were associated with obesity in multi-metal models. • Quantile g-computation was used to evaluate the joint effect of the metal mixtures. • Seventeen metals mixed exposure was negatively related to the risk of obesity. Association between long-term exposure to multiple metals and obesity remains inconclusive, and prospective evidence on the region along the Yangtze River was limited. Thus, our study aimed to examine the association of multiple metal exposure and obesity. We measured baseline urine levels of 22 metals of 982 adults living along the Yangtze River, incidence of obesity was calculated from body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) measured at follow-up survey. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the association between urinary metals and obesity, and the mixing effect of metals on obesity was estimated by using quantile g-computation. In multiple-metal models, arsenic was significantly associated with BMI/obesity, with the HR in the highest quartiles of 0.33 (95% CI: 0.16, 0.69; p-trend = 0.004). The HRs for WC/obesity of arsenic and molybdenum were 0.49 (95% CI: 0.32, 0.75 for the fourth vs. first quartile; p-trend = 0.002) and 1.83 (95% CI: 1.25, 2.70; p-trend = 0.001), respectively. Quantile g-computation mixtures approach showed a significantly negative joint effect of multiple metals on WC/obesity, with the HR of 0.26 (95% CI: 0.14, 0.47; p < 0.001) when increasing all seventeen metals by one quartile. Our study suggests that all seventeen metal mixed exposure may be negatively associated with obesity. Further cohort studies are needed to confirm these findings and clarify the underlying biological mechanisms.