Recent development of methods of long-term planning in the power economy of the GDR and trends of their future application

Due to the rapid development of the power economy, the procedures of long-term planning and the necessary methods, calculation techniques and models need permanent scientific treatment. The prerequisites for the development and utilization of mathematical methods in long- and medium-term planning of power economy are characterized. The steps of development up to the establishment and utilization of a central optimization model that can be coupled and interlaced with the complex of optimization algorithms in partial fields of power economy are presented. Problems of further improvement and more effective utilization of mathematical means of planning are discussed, considering the growing interlacing of power economy decisions with those in other branches and fields of national economy. Hence, requirements of enhanced optimization of the power economy development in enlarged balance pools and for longer periods are derived. (author)