A new index for electricity spot markets
- 1. University of Brescia, Department of Quantitative Methods, Contrada Santa Chiara 50, 25122 Brescia BS (Italy)
- 2. University of Milano - Bicocca, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economic and Business Sciences, Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi 8, 20126 Milano MI (Italy)
Description
Different indexes are used in electricity markets worldwide to represent the daily behavior of spot prices. However, the peculiarities of these markets require a careful choice of the index, based on mathematical formulation and its statistical properties. Choosing a bad index may influence the financial policies of market players, since derivative pricing and hedging performance can be deeply affected. In this paper with an initial theoretical analysis, we intend to show that the most widely used indexes (simple arithmetic average and weighted average with current volumes) are poor representatives of the spot market. We will then perform an analysis of the hedging strategy on a derivative instrument (an Asian option) written on a reference index. The resulting simulations, applied to OMEL (Spain) and EEX (Germany), are sufficiently clear cut to suggest that the decision to adopt an index to represent properly a market must be taken very carefully. Finally we will propose a new index (FAST index) and, after comparing it with the previous indexes, will show that both theoretically and practically this index can be taken as a good electricity market synthetic indicator. (author)
Availability note (English)
Available from Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2010.01.004Additional details
Identifiers
Publishing Information
- Journal Title
- Energy Policy
- Journal Volume
- 38
- Journal Issue
- 6
- Journal Page Range
- p. 2739-2750
- ISSN
- 0301-4215
- CODEN
- ENPYAC
INIS
- Country of Publication
- United Kingdom
- Country of Input or Organization
- United Kingdom
- INIS RN
- 41085005
- Subject category
- S29: ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY;
- Descriptors DEI
- ELECTRICITY; ENERGY POLICY; ENERGY SYSTEMS; FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY; PRICES; SIMULATION; SPAIN; SPOT MARKET
- Descriptors DEC
- DEVELOPED COUNTRIES; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; EUROPE; GOVERNMENT POLICIES; MARKET; WESTERN EUROPE
Optional Information
- Notes
- Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved