p-values for model evaluation
- 1. Max-Planck-Institut fuer Physik, Muenchen (Germany)
- 2. CERN, Genf (Switzerland)
- 3. Georg-August-Universitaet, Goettingen (Germany)
Description
In the analysis of experimental results it is often necessary to pass a judgment on the validity of a model as a representation of the data. A quantitative procedure to decide whether a model provides a good description of data is often based on a specific test statistic and a p-value summarizing both the data and the statistic's sampling distribution. Although there is considerable confusion concerning the meaning of p-values, leading to their misuse, they are nevertheless of practical importance in common data analysis tasks. We motivate the application of p-values using a Bayesian argumentation. We then describe commonly and less commonly known test statistics and how they are used to define p-values. The distribution of these are then extracted for examples modeled on typical new physics searches in high energy physics. We comment on their usefulness for determining goodness-of-fit and highlight some common pitfalls.
Additional details
Identifiers
Publishing Information
- Journal Title
- Verhandlungen der Deutschen Physikalischen Gesellschaft
- Journal Issue
- Karlsruhe 2011 issue
- Series
- Also available as printed version: Verhandlungen der Deutschen Physikalischen Gesellschaft v. 46(3)
- Journal Page Range
- [1 p.]
- ISSN
- 0420-0195
- CODEN
- VDPEAZ
Conference
- Title
- 2011 Spring meeting of the DPG with the professional associations gravitation and theory of relativity, particle physics, theoretical and mathematical fundamentals of the physics
- Original Conference Title
- DPG Fruehjahrstagung 2011 der Fachverbaende Gravitation und Relativitaetstheorie, Teilchenphysik, Theoretische und Mathematische Grundlagen der Physik
- Dates
- 28 Mar - 1 Apr 2011
- Place
- Karlsruhe (Germany)
INIS
- Country of Publication
- Germany
- Country of Input or Organization
- Germany
- INIS RN
- 44008090
- Subject category
- S97: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND COMPUTING;
- Resource subtype / Literary indicator
- Conference
- Descriptors DEI
- COUNTING TECHNIQUES; DATA ANALYSIS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD FIT; STATISTICS
- Descriptors DEC
- MATHEMATICAL SOLUTIONS; MATHEMATICS; NUMERICAL SOLUTION
Optional Information
- Notes
- Session: T 78.3 Mo 17:15; No further information available