Fundamental form of a population TCP model in the limit of large heterogeneity

A population tumor control probability (TCP) model for fractionated external beam radiotherapy, based on Poisson statistics and in the limit of large parameter heterogeneity, is studied. A reduction of a general eight-parameter TCP equation, which incorporates heterogeneity in parameters characterizing linear-quadratic radiosensitivity, repopulation, and clonogen number, to an equation with four parameters is obtained. The four parameters represent the mean and standard deviation for both clonogen number and a generalized radiosensitivity that includes linear-quadratic and repopulation descriptors. Further, owing to parameter inter-relationship, it is possible to express these four parameters as three ratios of parameters in the large heterogeneity limit. These ratios can be directly linked to two defining features of the TCP dose response: D50 and γ50. In the general case, the TCP model can be written in terms of D50, γ50 and a third parameter indicating the ratio of the levels of heterogeneity in clonogen number and generalized radiosensitivity; however, the third parameter is unnecessary when either of these two sources of heterogeneity is dominant. It is shown that heterogeneity in clonogen number will have little impact on the TCP formula for clinical scenarios, and thus it will generally be the case that the fundamental form of the Poisson-based population TCP model can be specified completely in terms of D50 and γ50: TCP=(1/2) erfc[√(π)γ50(D50/D-1)]. This implies that limited radiobiological information can be determined by the analysis of dose response data: information about parameter ratios can be ascertained, but knowledge of absolute values for the fundamental radiobiological parameters will require independent auxiliary measurements