Published July 1, 2021 | Version v1
Journal article

Modification frequency density with euclid distance classify for weather forecasting

  • 1. Postgraduate Program of Mathematics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University, Semarang (Indonesia)
  • 2. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Diponegoro University, Semarang (Indonesia)

Description

Method of weather forecasting fuzzy time series has some drawbacks, weather forecasting needs many weather components, big data size and forecaster experience, one of which is very difficult if it is worn on large data whereas weather Forecasting using time series forecast has large data characteristics, high dimensions, and continuous also require many large components and amounts of data, this affects speed and accuracy in weather forecasts, but the science develops in tandem with the development of the fuzzy Forecasting method, the fuzzy forecasting method that can be worn on large data will facilitate the weather forecasting, in this paper will be explained methods of forecasting for large data that is using the Euclid distance to classify data, then using the frequency density partitioning modification method applied to the database that has been grouped. The data used was KW Hipel Al McLeod 1994 using year variables and temperature, data from 1782 to 1988, data covers 206 global average temperature data annually. The final solution of the weather forecasting fuzzy time series problem is to analyze the value of AFER and MSE, the value of this paper is AFER 0.0021 and MSE 0.0025, the smaller the AFER and MSE values indicate that the method is good enough to forecast the weather. (paper)

Availability note (English)

Available from http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1943/1/012121

Additional details

Publishing Information

Journal Title
Journal of Physics. Conference Series (Online)
Journal Volume
1943
Journal Issue
1
Journal Page Range
[7 p.]
ISSN
1742-6596

Conference

Title
10. International Seminar on New Paradigm and Innovation of Natural Sciences and its Application
Acronym
ISNPINSA 2020
Dates
24-25 Sep 2020
Place
Semarang (Indonesia)

INIS

Country of Publication
United Kingdom
Country of Input or Organization
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
INIS RN
53086238
Subject category
S97: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND COMPUTING; S54: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES;
Resource subtype / Literary indicator
Conference
Descriptors DEI
ACCURACY; DENSITY; FORECASTING; FUZZY LOGIC; WEATHER
Descriptors DEC
MATHEMATICAL LOGIC; PHYSICAL PROPERTIES