Short-term natural gas deliverability from the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin 2002-2004: an energy market assessment

This energy market assessment is part of an enhanced monitoring program by the National Energy Board. It examines the factors which affect gas supply in the short-term and presents an outlook for deliverability to the year 2004. The objective of the report is to advance the understanding of the short-term gas situation by examining recent trends in the production characteristics of the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) and applying these trends to provide an outlook for short-term deliverability from the WCSB. Based on this assessment the Board expects deliverability to decrease from 470 million cu m/day in late 2001 to 450 million cu m/day by the end of 2004. It is should be noted that the outlook deals only with the WCSB and does not represent total Canadian deliverability. Also, the outlook is restricted to conventional supplies; the potential for development of coal bed methane or tight gas, and withdrawals from storage reservoirs are not considered. tabs., figs