Published October 1986 | Version v1
Report Metadata-only

Monte Carlo sampling for generalized knowledge dependence with application to human reliability

Creators

  • 1. Delft University of Technology (Netherlands). Dept. of Safety Science
  • 2. Delft University of Technology (Netherlands). Dept. of Electrical Engineering

Description

A general discussion of knowledge dependence in risk calculations shows that the assumption of independence underlying standard Monte Carlo simulation in uncertainty analysis is frequently violated. A model is presented for performing Monte Carlo simulation when the variabilities of the component failure probabilities are either negatively or positively coupled. The model is applied to examples in human reliability analysis and the results are compared to the results of Sandia Laboratories as published in the Peer Review Study. (author)

Part of:
Combining risk analysis and operating experience

Additional details

Publishing Information

Imprint Title
Combining risk analysis and operating experience
Imprint Pagination
217 p.
Journal Page Range
p. 105-118.
Report number
IAEA-TECDOC--387

Conference

Title
Technical committee meeting on combining risk analysis and operating experience.
Dates
25-29 Nov 1985.
Place
Vienna (Austria).

INIS

Country of Publication
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Country of Input or Organization
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
INIS RN
18037542
Subject category
S21: SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS;
Resource subtype / Literary indicator
Conference
Descriptors DEI
EDUCATION; MAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS; MONTE CARLO METHOD; NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS; REACTOR OPERATORS; REACTOR SAFETY; RELIABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
Descriptors DEC
NUCLEAR FACILITIES; PERSONNEL; POWER PLANTS; SAFETY; THERMAL POWER PLANTS

Optional Information

Notes
8 refs, 1 fig, 1 tab.