Published June 16, 2022 | Version v1
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Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Nuclear Power Machinery Based on an Exponential Degradation Model

  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Nuclear Power Safety Monitoring Technology and Equipment, China Nuclear Power Engineering Company Ltd., Shenzhen 518172, China
  • 2. School of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China

Description

Aiming at solving the problems of small fault data samples and insufficient remaining useful life (RUL) prediction accuracy of nuclear power machinery, a method based on an exponential degradation model is proposed to predict the RUL of equipment after the failure warning system alarm. After data preprocessing, time-domain feature extraction, selection, and dimensionality reduction fusion of multiple degradation variables, the exponential degradation model is constructed based on the Bayesian process, and prior information is used. As an application, the RUL of a nuclear power turbine was calculated based on actual monitoring data, theα−λprecision curve was used to evaluate the prediction effect, and the RUL prediction results verified the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1155/2022/9895907;
Crossref Funder ID
10.13039/501100012245;

Publishing Information

Journal Title
Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations
Journal Volume
2022
Journal Page Range
1-9
ISSN
1687-6075