Published January 2008 | Version v1
Journal article

DIPE: Determination of input parameters uncertainties methodology applied to CATHARE V2.5-1

  • 1. Institute for Radiological Protection and Nuclear Safety, Fontenay aux Roses (France)

Description

Since the revision of the 10 CFR50.46 in 1988, the best-estimate codes may be used in safety demonstration and licensing, provided that uncertainties are added to the relevant output parameters before comparing them with the acceptance criteria. The uncertainty of output parameters comes principally from the lack of knowledge of the input parameters (initial and boundary conditions of the calculated transient, empirical models of the code, etc.). The application of the best estimate plus uncertainty analysis can be made in three steps in a statistical evaluation: 1. The determination of the input parameters (IP) statistical characteristics. 2. The modelling and understanding of the output parameters. 3. The evaluation of the 95th percentile with a high degree of confidence. The first step is generally done manually according to expert judgments and comparing experimental data. The user effect is also very important in the determination of the statistical characteristics: range of variation and probability law. To reduce this user effect and to help the experts in their evaluation, IRSN has been developing a fully automated methodology and approach. This methodology is called DIPE: Determination of Input Parameters uncertaintiEs. This paper presents the advantages and limits of the application of DIPE for the physical models input parameters of CATHARE V2.5-1, a thermal-hydraulics code used in safety demonstration. DIPE will be applied to separate effect tests data used in the code qualification such as CANON and MARVIKEN. (author)

Additional details

Publishing Information

Journal Title
Journal of Power and Energy Systems
Journal Volume
2
Journal Issue
1
Journal Page Range
p. 409-420
ISSN
1881-3062

Conference

Title
15. international conference on nuclear engineering
Acronym
ICONE-15
Dates
22-26 Apr 2007
Place
Nagoya, Aichi (Japan)

Optional Information

Notes
8 refs., 13 figs., 3 tabs.