Transcriptomic points-of-departure from short-term exposure studies are protective of chronic effects for fish exposed to estrogenic chemicals

Highlights: • Transcriptomics provides PODs potentially suitable for quantitative risk assessment. • Differences in data processing methods had minimal impact on final POD values. • Dose-selection had important effect on the protectiveness of transcriptomic PODs. • Poor gene annotation had negative impact on biological interpretation of results. -- Abstract: Resource limitations often require risk assessors to extrapolate chronic toxicity from acute tests using assessment factors. Transcriptomic dose-response analysis following short-term exposures may provide a more reliable and biologically-based alternative for estimating chronic toxicity. Here, we demonstrate that transcriptomic dose-response analysis in fish following short-term exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) provides estimates of chronic toxicity that may be used as protective points-of-departure (POD) for risk assessment. The benchmark dose (BMD) method was used on publicly available datasets (n = 5) to determine transcriptomic PODs in fish exposed to three EDCs (bisphenol A, ethinylestradiol, and diethylstilbestrol). To test for potential bias related to data processing, our analysis compared the effect of different normalization, filtering, and BMD-grouping methods on the transcriptomic PODs. The resulting PODs were then compared to the empirically-derived chronic LOEC of each substance. Normalization and filtering methods had limited impact on the final PODs. However, we found that PODs derived from ontology- or pathway-based gene grouping methods were highly variable, whereas PODs from grouping methods that focused on the most responsive genes were more stable and provided POD estimates that were most similar to the chronic LOEC. Overall, 72% of transcriptomic PODs were within 1 order of magnitude of the chronic LOEC, regardless of data analysis method. When our recommended analysis approach was applied, the concordance improved to 100%. These results suggest that toxicogenomic dose-response analysis has the potential to be a protective decision-support tool for compounds with chronic toxicity, such as EDCs.