Review of middle eastern hydro climatology and seasonal tele connections

International hydro climatic variability in the Middle East is explored. A review is done on studies linking local climate with large-scale tele connections. These studies suggest that El Nino has a weak tendency of bringing better than normal conditions to the region during fall / winter. This signal is unstable in time and has considerable decadal variability. No consensus exists on the general start and end dates of various climate epochs, nor is there an explanation of the physical causes of the decad al variability, suggesting that the inter annual signal of El Nino in the Middle East may be transient and difficult to predict. In contrast, the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on temperature, precipitation and strea flow is strong, with high North Atlantic Oscillation winters favoring dry and cool conditions in the region. Recommendations are made on how to improve the ability to understand and forecast Middle Eastern inter annual variability, namely, 1) improve access to instrumental data, 2) coordinate research, forecasts and user involvement through a regional forum and 3) further explore the impacts of North Atlantic Oscillation in the Middle East