Probabilistic assessment of investment projects for the development of titanium dioxide deposits

The paper substantiates the possibility and scope of the simulation method for the purpose of assessing the probability of the effectiveness of the implementation of a strategic project for the development of deposits and the production of titanium dioxide in Russia. The results of the work are based on the methods of complex economic analysis and economic and mathematical modeling. The main and additional effects of the implementation of a strategic investment project of combining several titanomagnetite ore deposits in the mining complex are identified, an economic-mathematical model for estimating the probability of the effectiveness of the project for the production of titanium dioxide is proposed, taking into account changes in environmental factors. According to the results, the investment project for the construction of an industrial complex for the titanium dioxide production from a set oftitanomagnetite ore deposits - Kolvitsky, Afrikandsky and Pudozhgorsky will be successfully implemented. The results of the study can be used for a preliminary feasibility study assessment of titanomagnetite oresmining and further stages of project planning and implementation. (paper)