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Vesely, W.E.; Shafaghi, A.; Gary, I. Jr.; Rasmuson, D.M.
Battelle Columbus Labs., OH (USA)1983
Battelle Columbus Labs., OH (USA)1983
AbstractAbstract
[en] This report describes a systematic approach for prioritizing research needs and research programs. The approach is formally called the Analytic Hierarchy Process which was developed by T.L. Saaty and is described in several of his texts referenced in the report. The Analytic Hierarchy Process, or AHP for short, has been applied to a wide variety of prioritization problems and has a good record of success as documented in Saaty's texts. The report develops specific guidelines for constructing the hierarchy and for prioritizing the research programs. Specific examples are given to illustrate the steps in the AHP. As part of the work, a computer code has been developed and the use of the code is described. The code allows the prioritizations to be done in a codified and efficient manner; sensitivity and parametric studies can also be straightforwardly performed to gain a better understanding of the prioritization results. Finally, as an important part of the work, an approach is developed which utilizes probabilistic risk analyses (PRAs) to systematically identify and prioritize research needs and research programs. When utilized in an AHP framework, the PRA's which have been performed to date provide a powerful information source for focusing research on those areas most impacting risk and risk uncertainty
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Aug 1983; 89 p; BMI--2106-VOL.1; Available from NTIS, PC A05/MF A01; 1 - GPO $4.50 as DE83910798
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Report
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