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Carter, T.; Tuomenvirta, H.; Posch, M.
Academy of Finland, Helsinki (Finland)1995
Academy of Finland, Helsinki (Finland)1995
AbstractAbstract
[en] This User's Guide has been prepared to provide recommendations for the selection and application of climatic scenarios in the Finnish Research Programme on Climate Change (SILMU). These scenarios are required for conducting impact studies in SILMU. They should reflect the current range of estimates of future climate in the Finnish region. In addition, they should be consistent with other projections of importance in impact studies, such as future atmospheric composition and sea level. Section 2 provides some background information about the types of scenarios required in SILMU and Section 3 offers a general description of the scenarios. In Section 4 there is some advice on applying sensitivity studies to complement the use of scenarios. Section 5 explains the installation of the SILMUSCEN program and Section 6 guides the user through some examples to illustrate how SILMUSCEN can be used. Section 7 offers some recommendations on which scenarios to adopt for different impact assessments. In order to ensure some compatibility between impact studies in SILMU, it is very important that the recommendations in this section are followed as far as possible. Section 8 addresses important omissions from the computer program and suggests procedures to adopt in their absence. Section 9 explores alternative methods of specifying the baseline climate, and shows how scenario adjustments to the baseline can be made. in Section 10, the stochastic weather generator, CLIGEN, is described and its use illustrated by means of examples. Finally, possible refinements of the programs are outlined in Section 11, along with contact names and addresses for obtaining further information. (36 refs.)
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1995; 68 p; ISBN 951-37-1650-3;
; Also available from OSTI as DE97736347; NTIS; SILMU Research Programme.

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