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Jeeninga, H.; Boots, M.G.
Energieonderzoek Centrum Nederland ECN, Petten (Netherlands)2001
Energieonderzoek Centrum Nederland ECN, Petten (Netherlands)2001
AbstractAbstract
[en] The study on the title subject focuses on effects on purchase behaviour and changes in hours of usage of domestic appliances. It is concluded that prices for natural gas are expected to rise considerably, as a result of the application of the Commodity Distribution System (CDS) and the increase in taxes on energy and VAT (value-added taxes). Compared to prices of natural gas in 2000, prices are expected to increase by 45% in 2004. As a result of increasing competition due to the liberalisation of the energy market, electricity prices (before tax) in 2004 are expected to decrease by 15% compared to 2000. However, as a result of the increase in taxes (VAT as well as the Regulating Energy Tax (REB)), the total electricity price increases slightly (+3%). Especially for low-income households, the expenditures on energy as percentage of the disposable income increase significantly. By means of price elasticities, the effects of changes in energy prices on the development of residential energy use are estimated. In order to be able to translate the price elasticities to the future Dutch situation, attention is paid to the way the reported values of the price elasticities are determined. In general, price elasticities are based on historical data. However, the availability of energy conservation options as well as the knowledge of consumers with respect to the application of energy saving options may be of influence on the value of the price elasticities. It is expected that within the period up to 2010, the difference between reference technologies and more efficient energy conservation options will decrease. Therefore, it is expected that the price elasticities based on historical data are an upper estimate of the future long-term price elasticities. A delayed purchase or not purchasing an appliance at all is expected to be of more significance on the development of residential energy use than a change in purchase behaviour towards more efficient appliances. However, this aspect is in general not taken into account explicitly due to a lack of knowledge. It is recommended to conduct further study to this effect. 48 refs
Original Title
Ontwikkeling van het huishoudelijk energieverbruik in een geliberaliseerde energiemarkt. Effecten op aankoop- en gebruiksgedrag
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Jan 2001; 37 p; PROJECT ECN 7.7322; Available from Secretariaat ECN-Beleidsstudies (a href=mailto:bs@ecn.nlE-mail/a), Energieonderzoek Centrum Nederland, Postbus 1, 1755 ZG Petten (NL)
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