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AbstractAbstract
[en] This research aims at revisiting the 'autonomous vs. induced' debate on the costs of climate policies, first by broadening the framework of the technical change induction to other economical sectors, and then by attempting to go beyond the concept of technical change induction and think in terms of a structural change induction. After a review of modes of representation of the technical progress in economical prospective models for the assessment of climate policies, the author presents the IMACLIM-R model, a recursive general equilibrium model which simulates the evolution of the world economy within 12 regions and 12 sectors between 2001 and 2100. The results obtained with this model are then presented and discussed, in the case of a reference scenario which displays a significant change towards a carbon-intensive path. These results stress the risks related to a 'laissez faire' attitude. The author explores the consequences in terms of climate policies with a more or less extended taking into account of phenomena of induction of technical and structural changes
Original Title
L'impact du changement technique endogene sur les politiques climatiques
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Source
Nov 2008; 278 p; Also available from Universite Paris-Est Marne-La-Vallee, Cite Descartes, 5 bd Descartes, Champs sur Marne, 77454 - Marne la Vallee CEDEX 2 (France); These economiques
Record Type
Report
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Thesis/Dissertation
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