[en] This work presents a nonlinear gyrokinetic analysis, which addresses one of the perennial conundrums in ohmically heated fusion plasmas. The widely observed linear ohmic confinement (LOC) to saturated ohmic confinement (SOC) transition of the energy confinement time with increasing density is successfully reproduced from nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations for the first time. Suppression of trapped electron turbulence by collisional detrapping due to increasing density is found to be responsible for the transition. The microturbulence transition from trapped electron modes to ion temperature gradient modes is found to coincide, but is not a necessary condition for the LOC–SOC transition. Damping of nonlinearly generated zonal flow by increasing collisionality with density can be responsible for the energy confinement degradation in the SOC regime. (paper)