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AbstractAbstract
[en] Oil prices fluctuated between $50/bbl and $86/bbl in 2018 for an average of $71/bbl, up 31% from 2017. The instability observed in 2018 was largely due to uncertainties about supply and economic growth, but also to US sanctions against Iran. Initially announced as extremely harsh, the embargo was in fact relaxed in extremis by the American president in response to the consequences envisaged on the rise in the price of oil products. This will be a theme to be followed again in 2019 as the exemptions granted to some countries will be reviewed in April. Other parameters will be a cause of instability, in particular the global economic and financial context faltering at the end of 2018, supply management by OPEC with the support of Russia and the relatively strong growth of American production. (author)
[fr]
Le prix du petrole a oscille entre 50 $/b et 86 $/b en 2018 pour une moyenne de 71 $/b, en progression de 31 % par rapport a celle de 2017. La volatilite observee en 2018 a resulte en grande partie des incertitudes portant sur l'offre et la croissance economique, mais aussi des sanctions americaines contre l'Iran. Annonce initialement comme extremement dur, l'embargo a en fait ete assoupli in extremis par le president americain face aux consequences envisagees sur la hausse du prix des produits petroliers. Ce sera a nouveau un theme a suivre en 2019 puisque les exemptions accordees a certains pays seront revisitees en avril. D'autres parametres seront source de volatilite, en particulier le contexte economique et financier mondial vacillant fin 2018, la gestion de l'offre par l'Opep avec le soutien de la Russie ou encore la progression plus ou moins forte de la production americaine. (auteur)Original Title
Enjeux petroliers 2019: croissance economique, embargo sur l'Iran, gestion Opep, shale oil, normes IMO...
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Secondary Subject
Source
1 Jan 2019; 5 Feb 2019; 68 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
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Miscellaneous
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Country of publication
ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES, ASIA, DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, EASTERN EUROPE, ECONOMICS, ENERGY SOURCES, EUROPE, FLUIDS, FOSSIL FUELS, FUEL GAS, FUELS, GAS FUELS, GASES, INDUSTRY, INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS, INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS, LIQUEFIED GASES, LIQUIDS, MARKET, MIDDLE EAST, NATURAL GAS, NORTH AMERICA, OIL-EXPORTING COUNTRIES, PETROLEUM, PRICES
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